残留争いについて(15票)
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セレッソ大阪について(9票)
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かわばた編集長の一言解説
サッカーはやっぱりメンタルが大きな要素を占めるスポーツだなということを再認識させられています。悲壮感をもって勝とうとしても、どうにも難しい。お隣のG大阪ですら落ちているのが現在のJ1リーグですから、C大阪の現場もフロントも残留争いを軽く見ていたわけではないと思うのですが(だからこその早期監督交代だったのでしょうし)、一度狂ってしまった歯車はなかなか直らないということなのでしょう。
次節・仙台戦で敗れて、15位の清水が名古屋に勝つようだと、早くも降格が決まってしまう、そんなシチュエーションまで追い詰められました。ここで逆に精神的に開き直れるかどうか。こういうときに心理面で周りをサポートできるベテラン選手が主軸にいるとまた違うものですが、いないものは仕方ない。大熊裕司監督のメンタル面でのマネジメントがキーとなりそうです。
一方、最終節の相手である16位・大宮は今節、広島に幸運なゴールをもらいつつ、1-1のドロー。いつも残留争いを制している印象の強い大宮ですが、最終節を待たずに残留を決めているのが黄金パターン。今回は特別に危ない状況です。クラブとしてある種の「慣れ」があるにしても、さすがにプレッシャーの質が変わってきそうです。
13位・甲府は今節の勝利で「連敗さえしなければ……」と言えるような、有利な状況となりましたが(実は得失点差で圧倒的に有利!)、14位・仙台と15位・清水は「連敗ならJ2行き濃厚」という厳しい状況ではあります。残留ラインの勝ち点は、大宮が1勝1分1敗なら『37』(36で得失勝負)、2勝なら『39』(38で得失勝負)となります。C大阪が3連勝した場合(つまり最終節で大宮を食った場合)は勝ち点『39』となり、その場合の大宮の最大勝ち点『38』を逆転できます。やはり勝ち点『37』は一つの目安になりそうですし、安全圏と言えるのは『40』ということになりそうです。